Friend or Foe?

At the third meeting of GRARG at 8pm on 2nd September we will be discussion the results of our contact with MPs.

Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/4247888422

As you can see from the spreadsheet below, as of August 30th we have an idea about the position of 140 MPs and SMPs. However, only 10 are based on responses to the GRARG letter, which tried to set out clearly the implications of any ‘TWAW’ answer. It may be that we would get a different response to those questions.

Regardless, the statistics are sobering. There are a total of 533 constituencies in England; 59 in Scotland; 40 in Wales and 18 in Northern Ireland. So that’s potentially 650 MPs we need to canvass; we have the views of only 22% of them.

But of those 22%, the clear majority are recorded as ‘foe’ – 79 which is 57%

23 are ‘friend’ – 17%

And 38 are ‘unsure – 27%

Therefore, if we exptrapolate those percentages across 650 MPs and assume they are being asked to vote now on whether ‘TWAW’ then that would be roughly 370 MPs against 280 who did not agree or were unsure.

Also we aren’t clear as to why the 27% are ‘unsure’ or what precisely they are unsure about. It’s therefore possible that those in the ‘foe’ column could grow in number.

Given the relatively small sample and the fact its based on a variety of different questions, clearly we can’t put much weight on this. But it’s indications are troubling. We urgently need to know in what direction the Government wishes to go on GRA reform so we can decide in which direction our campaigning efforts are best directed.

Very grateful thanks to @Jessica12uk for her work on compiling the spreadsheet.

FRIEND	Thangam Debbonaire	Bristol West	LAB
FRIEND	John Howell OBE	Henley	CON
FRIEND	James Daly	Bury Ramsbottom and Tottingham	CON
FRIEND	Jonathan Lord	Woking	CON
UNSURE	Suzanne Webb	Stourbridge	CON
UNSURE	Lucy Allan	Telford	CON
UNSURE	David Jones	Clwyd West	CON
FOE	Barry Gardiner	Brent North	LAB
FOE	Tahir Ali	Birmingham, Hall Green	LAB
FOE	Elliott Colburn	Carsharlton and Wallington	CON
REPLIES TO OTHER LETTERS including info from EMMA PALERMO. NB. Foes are recorded as ‘TWAW’ but this doesn’t necessarily mean they would answer this way if replying to the GRARG letter.
FRIENDS
FRIEND	Diane Abbott	Hackney North	LAB
FRIEND	Jo Stevens	Cardiff Central	LAB
FRIEND	Gareth Bacon	Orpington	CON
FRIEND	Duncan Baker	North Norfolk	CON
FRIEND	Geoffrey Cox	Torridge & West Devon	CON
FRIEND	David Davies	Monmouth	CON
FRIEND	Jackie Doyle Price	Thurroch	CON
FRIEND	Iain Duncan Smith	Chingford and Woodford Green	CON
FRIEND	Laura Farris	Newbury	CON
FRIEND	Sally-Ann Hart	Hastings and Rye	CON
FRIEND	Danny Kruger	Devizes	CON
FRIEND	Caroline Noakes	Romsey Southampton N	CON
FRIEND	Mark Pritchard	the Wrekin	CON
FRIEND	Elizabeth Truss	SW Norfolk	CON
FRIEND	James Heappey	Wells	CON
FRIEND	Patricia Gibson	N. Ayreshire	SNP
FRIEND	Joanna Cherry	Ed South West	SNP
FRIEND	Angus McNeil	Na a-eileanan An Lar	SNP
FRIEND	Carol Monaghan	Glasgow NW	SNP
FOE/TWAW
FOE/TWAW	Cat Smith	Lancaster and Fleetwood	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Karin Smyth	Bristol South	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Alex Sobel	Leeds Northwest	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Keir Starmer	Holborn and St Pancras	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Wes Streeting	Ilford North	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Zarah Sultana	Coventy South	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Emily Thornberry	Islington S and Finsbury	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Karl Turner	Kingston upon Hull East	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Catherine West	Horney and Wood Grn	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Matt Western	Warwick and Leamington	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Nadia Whittome	Nottingham East	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Daneil Zeicher	Cambridge	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Angela Eagle	wallasey	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Tahir Ali	Birmingham	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Rosena Allina Khan	Tooting	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Fleur Anderson	Putney	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Clive Betts	Sheffield	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Dawn Butler	Brent Central	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Ian Byrne	Liverpool West Darby	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Dan Carden	Liverpool Walton	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Richard Burgon	Leeds East	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Bambos Charalambous	Enfield South	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Stella Creasey	Walthamstow	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Stephen Doughty	Cardiff S and Penarth	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Gill Furniss	Sheffield Brightside	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Mary Glindon	North Tyneside	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Jeremy Corbyn	Is North	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Kim Johnson	Liverpool Riverside	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Gillian Keegan	Chichester	LAB
FOE/TWAW	David Lammy	Tottenham	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Clive Lewis	Norwich South	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Rebecca Long Bailey	Salford and Eccles	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Seema Malhotra	Feltham and Heston	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Kerry McCarthy	Bristol East	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Stephan Morgan	Portsmouth South	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Ian Murray	Edinburgh South	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Alex Norris	Nottingham North	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Luke Pollard	Plymouth Sutton Devonport	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Lucy Powell	Manchester Central	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Yasmin Qureshi	Bolton SE	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Angela Rayner	Ashton-Under-Lyme	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Bell Ribeiro-Addy	Streatham	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Marie Rimmer	St. Helens South and Whiston	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Lloyd Russell Moyle	Brighton Kemptown	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Jess Phillips	Birmingham Yardley	LAB
FOE/TWAW	Royston Smith	Southampton Itchen	CON
FOE/TWAW	Nickie Aiken	Westminster	CON
FOE/TWAW	Stuart Andrew	Pudsey	CON
FOE/TWAW	Crispin Blunt	Reigate	CON
FOE/TWAW	Connor Burns	Bournemeouth West	CON
FOE/TWAW	Christopher Chope	Christchurch	CON
FOE/TWAW	John Hayes	South Holland & Deepings	CON
FOE/TWAW	Drew Hendry	Inverness Nairn, Badenoch & Stratsby	CON
FOE/TWAW	Mims Davies	Mid Sussex	CON
FOE/TWAW	Nicola Richards	West Bromwich East	CON
FOE/TWAW	Jamie Wallace	Bridgend	CON
FOE/TWAW	Gary Sambrook	Birmingham Northfield	CON
FOE/TWAW	Paul Holmes	Eastleigh	CON
FOE/TWAW	James Sunderland	Bracknell	CON
FOE/TWAW	Richard Holden	NorthWest Durham	CON
FOE/TWAW	Ben Everitt	Milton Keynes North	CON
FOE/TWAW	John Nicolson	Ochil and South Perthshire	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Stewart McDonald	Gllasgow south	SNP
FOE/TWAW	David Lyndon	Glasgow East	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Chris Law	Dundee West	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Martin Docherty	W Dumbartonshire	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Angela Crawley	Lannarck & Hamilton East	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Alan Brown	Kilmarnokck	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Mhairi Black	Paisley	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Kirsty Blackman	Aberdeen N	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Chris Stephens	Glasgow SW	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Pete Wishart	Perth and N. Perthshire	SNP
FOE/TWAW	Edward Davey	Kinston and surbiton	LIB DEMS
FOE/TWAW	Chrstine Jardine	Edinburgh West	LD
FOE/TWAW	Layla Moran	West Oxford and Abingdon	LD
FOE/TWAW	Caroline Lucas	Brighton Pavilion	GREEN
UNSURE
TWAW/CONFUSED	Alicia Kearns	Rutland and Melton	CON
UNSURE	Caroline Ansell	Eastbourne	CON
UNSURE	Richard Bacon	South Norfolk	CON
UNSURE?	Kemi Badenoch	Saffron Waldren	CON
UNSURE	Ben Bradley	Mansfield	CON
UNSURE	Karen Bradley	Staffs Moorlands	CON
UNSURE	Ben Bradshaw	Exeter	CON
UNSURE	Suella Braverman	Fareham	CON
UNSURE	Maria Caulfield	Lewes Sussex	CON
UNSURE?	Daniel Kawczynski	Shewsbury & Atcham	CON
UNSURE	Jonathan Lord	Woking	CON
UNSURE	Owen Patterson	North Shropshire	CON
UNSURE	Dominic Raab	Esher and Walton	CON
UNSURE	Paul Scully	Sutton and Cheam	CON
UNSURE	Jeremy Wright	Kenilworth on Southam	CON
UNSURE	Andrew Percey	Brigg and Goole	CON
UNSURE	Ruth Cadbury	Brentford and Isleworth	LAB
UNSURE	Tonia Antoniazzi	Gower	LAB
UNSURE/FRIEND	Marsha D Cordova	Battersea	LAB
UNSURE/FRIEND	Rose Duffield	Canterbury	LAB
UNSURE	Julie Elliott	Sunderland Central	LAB
UNSURE	Harriet Harman	Camberwell and Peckham	LAB
UNSURE	Caroline Harris	Swansea East	LAB
UNSURE	Diana R Johnson	Kingston upon Hull North	LAB
UNSURE/FRIEND	Peter Kyle	Hove	LAB
UNSURE	Siobhain McDonagh	Mitcham and Morden	LAB
UNSURE	John Martin McDonnell	Hayes and Harlington	LAB
UNSURE	Pat McFadden	Wolverhampton SE	LAB
UNSURE	Ann McMorrin	Cardiff North	LAB
UNSURE	Bridge Phillipson	Houghton & Sunderland South	LAB
UNSURE	Jonathan Reynolds	Stalybridge and Hyde	LAB
UNSURE/FRIEND	Jo Stevens	Cardiff Central	LAB
UNSURE	Beth Winter	Cynom Valley	LAB
UNSURE?	Tim Farron	Westmoreland & Londsdale	LIB DEMS
UNSURE	Alyn Smith	Sterling	SNP
HOUSE OF LORDS
FRIENDS
FRIEND	Baroness Nicholson		LD
FRIEND	Zac Goldsmith		CON
FRIEND	Lewis Moonie		LAB
FRIEND	Philip Hunt	@LordPhilofBrum	LAB